“Judas and the Black Messiah”
“Promising Younger Girl”
“Sound of Metallic”
“The Trial of the Chicago 7”
“Nomadland” has gained almost each main award this season, together with prime honors from the Producers Guild, the Administrators Guild and the Golden Globes. By all accounts, this Frances McDormand street drama ought to have the ability to steamroll its solution to the Oscars for greatest image. Then once more, “1917” took the identical prizes final 12 months and nonetheless misplaced on the Oscars to “Parasite.” Might “Nomadland” discover its charmed voyage reduce quick, too?
Let’s take a look at the would-be insurgents. For a lot of voters, “Promising Younger Girl” is taking part in very like “Parasite” — it’s contemporary and up to date, tackles an vital challenge with a darkish humorousness, and ends in a manner that calls for dialog. There’s additionally “Minari,” which confirmed across-the-board power just like “Nomadland” and “Promising Younger Girl”: Along with nominations for greatest image and directing, every of these three motion pictures obtained nods for its screenplay, enhancing, and not less than one member of its solid.
“The Trial of the Chicago 7” gained the highest prize on the Display Actors Guild, however I’m nonetheless iffy on its best-picture probabilities: Aaron Sorkin couldn’t land a directing nomination, and the movie isn’t assured of a win in every other class. (Solely three movies have ever gained greatest image with out choosing up one other Oscar first, and the final one was 1935’s “Mutiny on the Bounty.”)
If any contender can sneak previous “Nomadland,” I believe it will be “Promising Younger Girl.” However the area is so diffuse that finally, I believe the front-runner will maintain.